I’m not a professional political analyst, so my political analysis is worth about what you pay for it. However, a few people who know that I called Donald Trump as the 2016 winner, starting back in 2015, have asked me what I think now.
My prediction for the 2016 race was based on a variety of observational and anecdotal evidence. I listened to Democrats, Republicans and independents across the U.S. I talked to people who consider themselves apolitical. I heard from taxi and Uber drivers, the Verizon man, stay-at-home moms, college grads, professionals, blue-collar delivery workers. And I watched nearly every rally of Trump and his opponents.
Now, that same unscientific methodology has led me to conclude that Trump has already secured a second term — no matter who his main opponent turns out to be.
Obviously, anything can happen, and I am not suggesting that those who support other candidates shouldn’t bother to vote. But as Democrats narrow down their array of personalities and preferences, I think Trump’s path to a second term has far more to do with him than with them.
Here are seven ways I think Trump has already secured a second term:
More experience. Trump is the only candidate who has served as president and commander in chief for four years.
Extreme vetting. Trump has been as thoroughly vetted as any political figure in American history, if not more so. There are few stones that remain unturned except, arguably, his tax returns, which will not make any difference to his supporters. On the other hand, all of his opponents — from former New York City mayor Mike Bloomberg to former vice president Joe Biden — are fending off new criticisms of their policies and actions. (Continued...)
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Bill Kerschner says
Light hearted critique, Sharyl: just what apocalyptic Trump predictions did come true? Mmmmmmh? You said "most" hadn't. Just innocent grammatical oversight it seems. Love your basic but profound assessments in your election prediction. PS. Keep fighting Deep State crooks with your suit.
Jim L says
The best thing about Trump is he is genuinely loves America, and wants the best for America, The Democrats on the other hand, are interested in power (like most previous Republican presidents). They want their turn at the trough of cash that is flowing in DC, and their chance to be a powerful leader in the Deep State. The corruption of our Republic started long ago, probably back to JFK assassination, but few thought it was as bad as it is.
How is it possible the the FBI covertly interviews and then coerces a US General into saying he lied, b\c he would only speak the Truth as he knew it? Then they bankrupted him and his family.
How is it possible that the top law enforcement agency in the US, can hack into people laptops, and then defend the agents who did it?
Trump has also been on the receiving end of Deep State investigations, and if 40 agents couldn't find any dirt on him after 2 years, he is obviously the "cleanest" politician in America. But the other obvious fact is the Deep State still controls part of our government. Will their power increase or decrease with a Democrat President?