Dr. Alen Roses

Pharma exec say most drugs don’t work on most people


The following is a news analysis.

The vast majority of drugs – more than 90 per cent – only work in 30 or 50 per cent of the people.

Dr. Allen Roses, worldwide vice president of genetics at GlaxoSmithKline (2003)

It seemed like a seminal moment.

A top executive with Great Britain’s biggest drug company at the time, GlaxoSmithKline, stated that most prescription drugs don’t work on most people.

The admission was made by Dr. Allen Roses, worldwide vice-president of genetics at GlaxoSmithKline, at a scientific conference in 2003 and not intended for a consumer audience. But the frank statement made its way into popular news and grabbed headlines.

According to one news article, “It is an open secret within the drugs industry that most of its products are ineffective in most patients but this is the first time that such a senior drugs boss has gone public.”

Considering the trillions upon trillions that governments and individuals spend on prescription medicine, it’s a remarkable fact. It means most of the money we spend on drugs is utterly wasted while patients are needlessly exposed to side effects. In other words, most aren’t helped by the medicine they take, but stand to be hurt by it.

At the scientific conference in 2003, Roses cited data on the effectiveness of classes of drugs in real patients. The data showed “drugs for migraines, for osteoporosis, and arthritis work in about half the patients.” The numbers were even worse for cancer drugs. They worked in only one in four patients.

Most drugs work in fewer than half of patients “mainly because the recipients carry genes that interfere in some way with the medicine,” said Roses, an academic geneticist at Duke University.

According to an article at the time in The Independent:

“Roses is a smart guy and what he is saying will surprise the public but not his colleagues,” said one industry scientist. “He is a pioneer of a new culture within the drugs business based on using genes to test for who can benefit from a particular drug.” 

Dr Roses has a formidable reputation in the field of “pharmacogenomics” – the application of human genetics to drug development – and his comments can be seen as an attempt to make the industry realise that its future rests on being able to target drugs to a smaller number of patients with specific genes.

The idea is to identify “responders” – people who benefit from the drug – with a simple and cheap genetic test that can be used to eliminate those non-responders who might benefit from another drug.

It’s hard to imagine a more impactful line of research. Yet if any of that has made it into applied medicine in the 20 years since, it’s been kept a secret from us. As far as I know, doctors don’t consider our genetics when prescribing medicine, and don’t disclose to us that there is every likelihood the medicine they’re prescribing won’t work, and aren’t even bothering to gather data from patients to query as to which drugs seem to work best for an individual.

Roses died in 2016. According to a remark in an obituary, “He expected medical students to understand that it was also their responsibility to challenge what they learned and to look for new ideas and new ways to investigate human disease.”

Not enough medical students are learning that today.

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22 thoughts on “Pharma exec say most drugs don’t work on most people”

    1. William Bayer,

      In the late-Ninties, the FDA
      allowed Big Pharma to
      bring drugs to market—if
      research confirmed the
      level of influence to be as
      useful as a P L A C E B O !,
      which makes sugar pills
      valuable,as means to
      effecting healthy outcomes ?

      Keep in mind, Freud had
      had an initial practice using
      HYPNOTISM. Because his
      cure rate was so high, he
      switched to TALK-Therapy
      sessions, which kept sick
      patients coming back for
      discovery of the MENTAL
      Disease causing physical
      illness.

      -Rick

    2. William Bayer,

      In the late-Ninties, the FDA
      allowed Big Pharma to
      bring drugs to market—if
      research confirmed the
      level of influence to be as
      useful as a P L A C E B O !,
      which makes sugar pills
      valuable,as means to
      effecting healthy outcomes ?

      Keep in mind, Freud had
      had an initial practice using
      HYPNOTISM. Because his
      cure rate was so high, he
      switched to TALK-Therapy
      sessions, which kept sick
      patients coming back for
      discovery of the MENTAL
      Disease causing physical
      illness.

      -Rick

  1. This article presents yet more evidence to support the correctly defined financial model which rules the current HealthCare paradigm–aka: ‘Disease Capitalism’ (or sickness maintenance.)

  2. This article presents yet more evidence to support the correctly defined financial model which rules the current HealthCare paradigm–aka: ‘Disease Capitalism’ (or sickness maintenance.)

  3. This highlights the fact that modern cookbook prescribing (following set clinical practice guidelines by the medical establishment) is generally not specific enough for individual patients. It will be difficult to have it evolve to be more individualized due to the need to standardize for insurance and payment processes.

  4. This highlights the fact that modern cookbook prescribing (following set clinical practice guidelines by the medical establishment) is generally not specific enough for individual patients. It will be difficult to have it evolve to be more individualized due to the need to standardize for insurance and payment processes.

  5. Homeopathy works! It worked for my family for over 30 years. I’m a physicist / engineer, not a “medical professional”, but I know cause and effect when I see it.

  6. Homeopathy works! It worked for my family for over 30 years. I’m a physicist / engineer, not a “medical professional”, but I know cause and effect when I see it.

  7. This is astounding and outstanding reportage. I’m a health nut and one of the doctors I read is Dr. Al Sears. He has often said (among other things) and has re-iterated that the drugs prescribed often have side effects while not being very effective.
    After this article, I’m going to start taking health food doctors (like Dr Sears, who is an MD and Dr. Mercola, who, I believe, is an Osteopath) more seriously.
    I do have one question on this article. The first sentence says, according to Dr. Roses: “The vast majority of drugs – more than 90 per cent – only work in 30 or 50 per cent of the people.” He was the VP of the one time biggest pharmaceutical in England, but what does this statistic mean. Does that mean the other 10% work all the time?

  8. This is astounding and outstanding reportage. I’m a health nut and one of the doctors I read is Dr. Al Sears. He has often said (among other things) and has re-iterated that the drugs prescribed often have side effects while not being very effective.
    After this article, I’m going to start taking health food doctors (like Dr Sears, who is an MD and Dr. Mercola, who, I believe, is an Osteopath) more seriously.
    I do have one question on this article. The first sentence says, according to Dr. Roses: “The vast majority of drugs – more than 90 per cent – only work in 30 or 50 per cent of the people.” He was the VP of the one time biggest pharmaceutical in England, but what does this statistic mean. Does that mean the other 10% work all the time?

  9. This article and Big Pharma = Every breath you take, every word you speak, every claim you make ? The federal trade commission will be watching you, in over charging for some snake oil’s and false claims = Speed Bump ? ” See the World through your cynical life ??? ( Just some drugs and some drug manufactures have bad formulas, Proof there are many people still alive today thanks to New HIV med’s otherwise many more would be dead by now ? This guy don’t know his but from a whole in ground, also you can thank the drug research for Polio in the 1900’s otherwise more would have suffer ? )

  10. This article and Big Pharma = Every breath you take, every word you speak, every claim you make ? The federal trade commission will be watching you, in over charging for some snake oil’s and false claims = Speed Bump ? ” See the World through your cynical life ??? ( Just some drugs and some drug manufactures have bad formulas, Proof there are many people still alive today thanks to New HIV med’s otherwise many more would be dead by now ? This guy don’t know his but from a whole in ground, also you can thank the drug research for Polio in the 1900’s otherwise more would have suffer ? )

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