Prediction: Trump for the win


This article was first published on Sharyl Attkisson’s Substack.

Here’s my 2024 prediction (which is worth absolutely nothing):

Trump wins by a comfortable margin, if it’s a fair election.

This does *not* imply that, if Trump loses, I’m automatically saying there was cheating or unfairness. I could simply be wrong. I’m not an expert or political pundit.

Here’s why I say Trump wins comfortably:

As in 2016 and 2020, I’ve tried to watch most of the candidate’s appearances and rallies. In 2024, taken together, I feel as though they point to a Trump win.

In addition:

Trump is more popular now than he was in 2016 and 2020.

He was more popular in 2020 than 2016.

He has significantly gained support, since 2020, among Hispanics and Blacks.

The border crisis has worsened and touched many more cities and states since 2020.

People feel as though they’re paying way more (too much) for groceries, gas, and other goods since 2020.

We’ve grown embroiled in multiple global conficts since 2020.

Democrats don’t have as large an advantage in terms of unprecedented numbers of mail in ballots and lax verification rules as they had in 2020.

Trump has a measurable track record as president.

He didn’t suspend democracy, refuse to leave the White House, end social security, press the nuclear button, start wars, or crash the stock market, as predicted.

Kamala Harris also has a measurable track record, and it’s largely contrary to what she claims she will do, if elected.

Under Harris, the border crisis worsened, and inflation grew out of control while Biden officials mistakenly called it “transitory.”

Harris initially spiked in popularity upon taking Biden’s place. But the more people have seen of her, the less attractive (as a candidate) many people find her to be.

To most voters who support Harris, her best feature is that she isn’t Trump. That isn’t enough to inspire the win she needs.

On the other hand, Trump’s negatives were already baked into his formula from the start. There wasn’t, and isn’t, much of anything he could say or do that would change minds.

Polls usually understate Trump support. Perhaps they have corrected to some degree but it’s doubtful they overstate Trump support, and the trending is currently overall in his favor in the battleground states, electoral count, and the popular vote.


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6 thoughts on “Prediction: Trump for the win”

  1. IMO we are about as close as that bullet that almost killed Trump to losing our Constitutional Republic. If the Dems ever gain enough power to pass any sort of mass amnesty program combined with the unlawful open borders policy of the Biden/Harris administration the US will become a one-party state. The battle to support and defend the Constitution, Bill of Rights, and equal justice under the law would be lost at the ballot box. It has been said that you can vote yourself into socialism, but you have to shoot your way out. A win by Harris, despite her lofty, flowery, love Democracy rhetoric, may be catastrophic even more catastrophic than the 4 years of the current Biden/Harris government, if that is possible and it most assuredly is.

  2. Sharyl & Team,

    No matter the winner in this election
    (( these Deep State Operations shall continue )) :

    “[1] War will continue.

    “[2] Drone killings will continue.

    “[3] Surveillance will continue.

    “[4] Censorship of anyone who criticizes the government will continue.

    “[5] The government’s efforts to label dissidents as extremists and terrorists will continue.

    “[6] Police shootings will continue.

    “[7] SWAT team raids will continue.

    “[8] Highway robbery meted out by government officials will continue.

    “[9] Corrupt government will continue.

    “[10] Profit-driven prisons will continue.

    “[11] And the militarization of the police will continue.

    “These problems have persisted—and in many cases flourished—under both Republican and Democratic administrations in recent years.

    “The outcome of this year’s election changes none of that.”

    —Above numbered sentences, and conclusions, are found in this article :

    https://www.lewrockwell.com/2024/11/no_author/post-election-truths-the-things-that-wont-change-no-matter-who-wins/

    -Rick

  3. I hope your prognostication skills are top notch. I worry about the caveat of a fair election. We have seen some irregularities in advance of today’s vote. Possibly more today as a friend woke up to no power in swing state PA.
    Trump will need an EC win of 310 or better, or a national popular vote majority and even that may not stop the left from blocking his inauguration.

  4. Thank you,
    I agree with all the criteria you used to present your case.
    I too, will not believe it is election fraud until someone lays out a reasonable case for election fraud occurring. Since I like numbers, I do not want to hear or read, that there was no massive electoral fraud occurring. Massive is a value judgment whose definition varies by the person making the claim and the person reading or listening.
    That said, there has been enough crap going on, that I am going to need there was no election fraud if Harris wins.

  5. Kevin,

    Why has the Dominion Vote Machine
    company refused to allow A—N—Y
    forensic tests on their equipment ?

    That’s a powerful C-L-U-E, isn’t it ?

    Here’s how they CHEAT : Each vote
    machine is a cell phone – contains a
    transceiver – for remotely flipping
    votes.

    A Harvard IT/Electronics nerds had
    proven remote hacking in 2016 or 17.

    Even before the equipment was in
    development, NERDS ( we owe so
    much to them ! ) had warned NEVER
    to ALLOW their use to gather votes.

    -Rick

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