The following is from Gallup News.
A new Gallup survey finds that 46% of Americans say they identify as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party, compared to 45% who say they identify as Democrats or lean Democratic. This marks the third consecutive year that Republicans have held a slight advantage. Before 2022, the GOP only had such an edge once, in 1991.

Independents remain the largest political group in the US, with 43% saying they identify as independents in 2024. This figure ties the record high previously reached in 2014 and 2023. Independents are asked whether they lean Republican or Democratic, which accounts for the final party affiliation figures.
Over the past three years, several subgroups have shown notable increases in Republican affiliation, according to Gallup. Hispanic Americans say they identify with or lean toward the Republican Party at 36%, up from 27%. Among young adults, Republican affiliation has increased from 33% to 39%. Lower-income Americans now say they align with the GOP at 41%, compared to 36% three years ago, while Black Americans have shifted from 12% to 17%.
Republican gains are attributed largely to dissatisfaction with Democratic leadership. In the past three years, low satisfaction with the direction of the country, negative views of the US economy, and low approval ratings for President Joe Biden contributed to a challenging climate for Democrats. Republicans have since gained control of both chambers of Congress and the presidency.
The survey was based on interviews with over 14,000 U.S. adults conducted throughout 2024.
For more details, read the full report here.
